COMO ACABAR CON LA DEPRESIÓN SEGUN KRUGMAN



He acabado de leer el libro de Krugman, End this Depression Now y procedo a comentarlo brevemente. EL libro es bueno, se coincida o no con los habituales planteamientos económicos y políticos de Krugman lo que no se le puede negar es habilidad para escribir, escoger los temas y una línea intelectual muy solvente para defender con argumentos lógicos sus posiciones.

A mi entender es un libro relativamente sencillo de seguir para no economistas, la jerga económica no es demasiado abundante ni técnica (aunque como es lógico a mi suenan por haber estudiado económicas) y una ausencia total de planteamientos o formulaciones matemáticas hace más llevadero el contenido.


Krugman hace a lo largo del libro una defensa tanto de Keynes como de las políticas que en su momento planteó e intenta trazar un paralelismo entre la gran depresión y la actual.  Según su análisis la débil, lenta y muy dura salida de la depresión en la que estamos tiene su origen en los errores de la gestión económica de la misma. Culpa especialmente a la, en su entender, pequeña cantidad de estimulo económico en forma del gasto del gobierno de USA (y otros países, pero centra su análisis en USA).  Básicamente cree que en 2009 se tomaron las medias correctas para contener la grave recesión que en 2007 y especialmente en 2008 se produjo, pero que tanto la cantidad de estimulo inicial menor del deseable, como la corrección del gasto a partir del 2010 han sido un grave error.   El defiende que estamos en una trampa de liquidez, algo que parece claro, donde la política monetaria convencional de la FED y otros bancos centrales ha perdido su efectividad para estimular la economía, incrementar la demanda y reducir consecuentemente el grave desempleo y subutilización de los recursos de la economía.

Durante el libro hace referencia a diferentes estudios y análisis de colegas economistas e instituciones para defender sus argumentos y desacreditar algunos de los de sus muchos rivales políticos y económicos.   Hace ya tiempo que Krugman cambio o amplio su enfoque desde la economía a la política y este libro no es una excepción, pero su análisis sistemático y estructurado de la realidad económica, las decisiones políticas y las corrientes que los apoyan le confieren al libro un interés mucho mayor que el de un simple analista o comentarista político.

Un libro recomendable al que probablemente seguirán otro u otros del autor sobre la materia a medida que los datos y estudios relativos a esta gran crisis y la propia evolución de la misma nos permitan tener una idea más clara de lo que pasó y lo que debería estar pasando para que saliésemos mas pronto y mejor de la misma.

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