He acabado de leer el libro de Krugman,
End this Depression Now y procedo a comentarlo brevemente. EL libro es bueno,
se coincida o no con los habituales planteamientos económicos y políticos de Krugman lo
que no se le puede negar es habilidad para escribir, escoger los temas y una
línea intelectual muy solvente para defender con argumentos lógicos sus
posiciones.
A mi entender es un libro relativamente
sencillo de seguir para no economistas, la jerga económica no es demasiado
abundante ni técnica (aunque como es lógico a mi suenan por haber estudiado económicas)
y una ausencia total de planteamientos o formulaciones matemáticas hace más
llevadero el contenido.
Krugman hace a lo largo del libro una
defensa tanto de Keynes como de las políticas que en su momento planteó e
intenta trazar un paralelismo entre la gran depresión y la actual. Según su análisis la débil, lenta y muy dura
salida de la depresión en la que estamos tiene su origen en los errores de la
gestión económica de la misma. Culpa especialmente a la, en su entender, pequeña
cantidad de estimulo económico en forma del gasto del gobierno de USA (y otros países,
pero centra su análisis en USA). Básicamente
cree que en 2009 se tomaron las medias correctas para contener la grave
recesión que en 2007 y especialmente en 2008 se produjo, pero que tanto la
cantidad de estimulo inicial menor del deseable, como la corrección del gasto a
partir del 2010 han sido un grave error.
El defiende que estamos en una
trampa de liquidez, algo que parece claro, donde la política monetaria
convencional de la FED y otros bancos centrales ha perdido su efectividad para
estimular la economía, incrementar la demanda y reducir consecuentemente el
grave desempleo y subutilización de los recursos de la economía.
Durante el libro hace referencia a
diferentes estudios y análisis de colegas economistas e instituciones para
defender sus argumentos y desacreditar algunos de los de sus muchos rivales políticos
y económicos. Hace ya tiempo que Krugman
cambio o amplio su enfoque desde la economía a la política y este libro no es
una excepción, pero su análisis sistemático y estructurado de la realidad económica,
las decisiones políticas y las corrientes que los apoyan le confieren al libro
un interés mucho mayor que el de un simple analista o comentarista político.
Un libro recomendable al que
probablemente seguirán otro u otros del autor sobre la materia a medida que los datos y estudios relativos a esta
gran crisis y la propia evolución de la misma nos permitan tener una idea más
clara de lo que pasó y lo que debería estar pasando para que saliésemos mas pronto y mejor de
la misma.
5 comentarios:
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